Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 80.7%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 62.6%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lehtera 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
0
Lehtera
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
2
Lehtera
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
45.2% (365)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
57.1% (63)
-3.6%
On even strength, Lehtera has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Lehtera shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Home
55.6% (549)
48.0% (225)
Away
46.5% (512)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Lehtera
MacKinnon
P1
53.8%
41.1%
P2
48.9%
49.6%
P3
50.8%
48.9%
OT
56.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |