Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.0%). Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 72.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lehtera
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Lehtera
Bonino
Last 10: Lehtera 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
6
2
Lehtera
Bonino
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
3
Lehtera
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
7
4
Lehtera
Bonino
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
54.1% (972)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Bonino
Home
53.7% (1,668)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Lehtera
Bonino
P1
53.2%
50.6%
P2
50.6%
48.5%
P3
48.1%
51.1%
OT
54.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2015 | OT | 04:35 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |