Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Bonino 48.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 78.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 57.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Lehtera
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lehtera
Bonino
Last 9: Lehtera 7-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
1
Lehtera
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
0
Lehtera
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
48.7% (917)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
53.2% (94)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
42.1% (202)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Lehtera shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Bonino
Home
50.6% (443)
51.0% (629)
Away
47.6% (389)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Lehtera
Bonino
P1
52.6%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
45.4%
P3
46.3%
50.2%
OT
55.6%
23.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |