Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Marleau 48.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 55.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 58.7%
Neutral zone
Marleau 57.2%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Lehtera
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lehtera
Marleau
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
2
Lehtera
Marleau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
3
Lehtera
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Lehtera
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
47.6% (288)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
52.9% (34)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
47.1% (34)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Marleau is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Marleau
Home
55.6% (549)
52.8% (125)
Away
46.5% (512)
45.5% (231)
By Period
Lehtera
Marleau
P1
53.8%
49.6%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
46.5%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |