Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 80.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 61.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Lehtera
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lehtera
Nash
Last 10: Lehtera 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
1
Lehtera
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
1
Lehtera
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
51.0% (249)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
44.9% (550)
-3.6%
On power play, Lehtera has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Nash
Home
53.7% (1,668)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Lehtera
Nash
P1
53.2%
49.0%
P2
50.6%
47.9%
P3
48.1%
48.0%
OT
54.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |