Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.9%). Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Nash 50.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 68.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.8%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Lehtera
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Lehtera
Nash
Last 10: Lehtera 8-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
1
Lehtera
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
0
Lehtera
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
50.1% (752)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
53.8% (104)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
53.9% (102)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Lehtera shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Nash
Home
55.6% (549)
51.0% (502)
Away
46.5% (512)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Lehtera
Nash
P1
53.8%
49.4%
P2
48.9%
50.9%
P3
50.8%
52.1%
OT
56.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |