Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Lehtera wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 52.4% vs Chartier 45.4% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chartier 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 59.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 52.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lehtera
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lehtera
Chartier
Last 5: Lehtera 2-3 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Lehtera
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Chartier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Chartier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (117)
37.7% (77)
+17.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
66.7% (6)
-14.8%
On even strength, Lehtera has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Lehtera is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Lehtera shoots left. Chartier is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Chartier
Home
63.6% (66)
37.0% (27)
Away
46.3% (80)
41.4% (58)
By Period
Lehtera
Chartier
P1
48.1%
48.1%
P2
56.5%
41.9%
P3
58.3%
29.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
32.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |