Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Crosby 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 54.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 53.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lehtera
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lehtera
Crosby
Last 5: Lehtera 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Lehtera
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Lehtera
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
49.4% (1,194)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
52.6% (350)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
43.4% (53)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Crosby
Home
55.6% (549)
51.3% (776)
Away
46.5% (512)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Lehtera
Crosby
P1
53.8%
50.5%
P2
48.9%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
47.8%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |