Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Stamkos 49.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lehtera
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lehtera
Stamkos
Last 8: Lehtera 2-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Lehtera
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Lehtera
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
48.7% (831)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
53.5% (86)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
69.2% (26)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Lehtera shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Stamkos
Home
55.6% (549)
52.5% (474)
Away
46.5% (512)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Lehtera
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
46.3%
P2
48.9%
52.0%
P3
50.8%
51.2%
OT
56.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |