Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 65.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 59.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Lehtera
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lehtera
Stamkos
Last 6: Lehtera 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Lehtera
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lehtera
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
49.9% (771)
-1.0%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
55.4% (74)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
45.1% (82)
-8.4%
On power play, Lehtera has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Lehtera shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Stamkos
Home
51.7% (520)
50.7% (487)
Away
48.1% (449)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Lehtera
Stamkos
P1
52.8%
46.1%
P2
54.0%
52.0%
P3
43.0%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |