Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Wingels 44.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 75.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 54.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 60.2%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Lehtera
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lehtera
Wingels
Last 9: Lehtera 5-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
3
Lehtera
Wingels
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
44.2% (871)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
43.2% (74)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
41.3% (109)
+0.0%
On power play, Lehtera has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Wingels
Home
53.7% (1,668)
44.4% (462)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Lehtera
Wingels
P1
53.2%
45.1%
P2
50.6%
40.9%
P3
48.1%
46.0%
OT
54.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |