Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Smith 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 65.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.1%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Lehtera
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lehtera
Smith
Last 9: Lehtera 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Lehtera
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Lehtera
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
49.0% (769)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
63.6% (22)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
42.4% (118)
-1.1%
On power play, Smith has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Smith
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Lehtera
Smith
P1
53.2%
46.9%
P2
50.6%
51.2%
P3
48.1%
47.7%
OT
54.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |