Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 61.7%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 65.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Lehtera
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Lehtera
Bozak
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Lehtera
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Lehtera
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
9
Lehtera
Bozak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Bozak
Home
53.7% (1,668)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Lehtera
Bozak
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
52.8%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
OT
54.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |