Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Bozak 55.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 80.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 77.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 78.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Lehtera
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Lehtera
Bozak
Last 10: Lehtera 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Lehtera
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Lehtera
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Lehtera
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
56.4% (837)
-7.5%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
60.8% (186)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
33.3% (36)
+3.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Lehtera shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Bozak
Home
51.7% (520)
58.7% (516)
Away
48.1% (449)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Lehtera
Bozak
P1
52.8%
55.7%
P2
54.0%
53.4%
P3
43.0%
59.7%
OT
50.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |