Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Lehtera
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Lehtera
Johnson
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
4
6
Lehtera
Johnson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
5
Lehtera
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
9
Lehtera
Johnson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
54.6% (885)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
42.3% (707)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Johnson
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Lehtera
Johnson
P1
53.2%
50.1%
P2
50.6%
50.6%
P3
48.1%
48.4%
OT
54.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |