Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Johnson 48.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 64.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 59.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lehtera
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lehtera
Johnson
Last 7: Lehtera 1-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Lehtera
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Lehtera
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
49.5% (828)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
54.9% (142)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
36.8% (133)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Lehtera shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Johnson
Home
55.6% (549)
50.7% (564)
Away
46.5% (512)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Lehtera
Johnson
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
47.5%
P3
50.8%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |