Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 78.3%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 59.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 65.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Lehtera
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Lehtera
Seguin
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
6
7
Lehtera
Seguin
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
10
Lehtera
Seguin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
5
2
Lehtera
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
55.9% (810)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
49.3% (762)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Seguin
Home
53.7% (1,668)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lehtera
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.8%
P2
50.6%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.7%
OT
54.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |