Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Trocheck 49.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 67.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 56.5%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Lehtera
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lehtera
Trocheck
Last 9: Lehtera 2-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Lehtera
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lehtera
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Lehtera
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
49.1% (948)
-0.2%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
56.0% (84)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
47.3% (74)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Lehtera shoots left. Trocheck is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Trocheck
Home
51.7% (520)
49.5% (527)
Away
48.1% (449)
49.4% (579)
By Period
Lehtera
Trocheck
P1
52.8%
49.5%
P2
54.0%
48.5%
P3
43.0%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |