Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Karlsson 46.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 79.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 55.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lehtera
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lehtera
Karlsson
Last 5: Lehtera 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
46.5% (744)
+2.4%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
16.7% (18)
+47.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
45.0% (149)
-8.3%
On power play, Lehtera has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Lehtera shoots left. Karlsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Karlsson
Home
51.7% (520)
44.0% (425)
Away
48.1% (449)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Lehtera
Karlsson
P1
52.8%
49.7%
P2
54.0%
41.4%
P3
43.0%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | William Karlsson |