Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Smith 46.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 52.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.3%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Lehtera
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Lehtera
Smith
Last 10: Lehtera 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lehtera
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
6
Lehtera
Smith
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lehtera
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
44.7% (190)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
40.0% (10)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
45.2% (31)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Smith
Home
55.6% (549)
46.8% (111)
Away
46.5% (512)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Lehtera
Smith
P1
53.8%
44.6%
P2
48.9%
43.6%
P3
50.8%
46.2%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 04:55 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |