Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Anderson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anderson 47.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anderson 89.4%
Defensive zone
Anderson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Anderson 81.1%
Result
Josh Anderson favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Anderson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Anderson
O'Reilly
Last 9: Anderson 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anderson
2
0
Anderson
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Anderson
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anderson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (292)
56.2% (15,260)
-8.6%
Power Play
45.0% (40)
58.8% (3,445)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
51.4% (2,811)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Anderson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (235).
Anderson shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Anderson
O'Reilly
Home
47.6% (170)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.9% (187)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Anderson
O'Reilly
P1
45.2%
55.6%
P2
46.8%
57.0%
P3
47.2%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anderson
64.0%▲
52.5%
46.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Josh Anderson |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Josh Anderson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |