Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.5% vs Bailey 44.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 70.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 64.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 71.3%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Dubinsky
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dubinsky
Bailey
Last 8: Dubinsky 3-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Dubinsky
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubinsky
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Dubinsky
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (234)
44.2% (579)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
52.5% (40)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (106)
39.8% (108)
+7.4%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Dubinsky shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Bailey
Home
52.2% (182)
45.9% (375)
Away
51.6% (213)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Dubinsky
Bailey
P1
48.1%
47.3%
P2
54.5%
40.4%
P3
51.9%
43.3%
OT
53.8%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |