Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 51.1% vs Bailey 50.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 86.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 78.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 63.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Sissons
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Bailey
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
4
Sissons
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Sissons
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (409)
50.8% (189)
+1.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
52.8% (53)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
28.6% (14)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sissons is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Sissons shoots right. Bailey is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Sissons
Bailey
Home
52.2% (289)
55.2% (145)
Away
50.2% (263)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Sissons
Bailey
P1
48.1%
42.4%
P2
50.2%
52.2%
P3
56.3%
56.9%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
51.3%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |