Scouting Report
Daniel Brière holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Bailey 45.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 83.7%
Defensive zone
Brière 68.4%
Neutral zone
Brière 75.4%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Brière
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Brière
Bailey
Last 8: Brière 6-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
4
2
Brière
Bailey
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
44.2% (441)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
48.1% (81)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
41.7% (84)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Bailey is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Brière
Bailey
Home
49.2% (427)
43.1% (295)
Away
47.1% (393)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Brière
Bailey
P1
48.2%
46.5%
P2
49.5%
45.7%
P3
46.7%
41.3%
OT
42.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |