Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Shore wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.2% vs Bailey 49.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 58.7%
Defensive zone
Shore 60.4%
Neutral zone
Shore 66.0%
Result
Drew Shore favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Shore
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shore
Bailey
Last 6: Shore 2-4 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Shore
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (169)
48.8% (170)
-8.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
56.4% (39)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
42.1% (19)
-8.8%
On power play, Shore has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Shore is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Shore shoots right. Bailey is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Shore
Bailey
Home
44.2% (104)
51.3% (156)
Away
38.5% (104)
45.8% (72)
By Period
Shore
Bailey
P1
42.9%
50.0%
P2
39.0%
45.6%
P3
42.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
35.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
41.3%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |