Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Bailey 51.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 69.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 62.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Strome
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Strome
Bailey
Last 5: Strome 0-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Strome
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Strome
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
3
Strome
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
51.3% (236)
-4.0%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
56.3% (32)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
-5.0%
On power play, Strome has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Strome is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Strome shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Strome
Bailey
Home
49.8% (468)
55.0% (140)
Away
46.9% (429)
47.7% (132)
By Period
Strome
Bailey
P1
46.1%
57.1%
P2
52.9%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |