Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Slater wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 54.1% vs Bailey 44.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Slater 70.8%
Defensive zone
Slater 95.4%
Neutral zone
Slater 93.1%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Slater
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Slater
Bailey
Last 5: Slater 4-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
3
1
Slater
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (884)
44.2% (579)
+11.3%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
52.5% (40)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (246)
39.8% (108)
+10.2%
On power play, Slater has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Slater is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Slater shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Slater
Bailey
Home
58.1% (594)
45.9% (375)
Away
50.6% (571)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Slater
Bailey
P1
53.6%
47.3%
P2
52.3%
40.4%
P3
57.2%
43.3%
OT
25.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2011 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |