Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Jokinen 54.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 81.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 78.7%
Neutral zone
Bailey 86.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Bailey
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Bailey
Jokinen
Last 10: Bailey 2-8 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
6
Bailey
Jokinen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
5
Bailey
Jokinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
53.8% (1,931)
-8.0%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
55.9% (506)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
54.5% (279)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Bailey
Jokinen
Home
46.6% (1,353)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Bailey
Jokinen
P1
46.5%
53.4%
P2
44.8%
54.4%
P3
44.4%
53.7%
OT
51.1%
66.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |