Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Jokinen 54.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 87.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 83.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 87.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Bailey
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Bailey
Jokinen
Last 10: Bailey 2-8 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
6
Bailey
Jokinen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
4
Bailey
Jokinen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
54.9% (661)
-10.7%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
55.6% (99)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
60.0% (65)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Bailey shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Bailey
Jokinen
Home
45.9% (375)
58.0% (414)
Away
41.8% (361)
52.4% (418)
By Period
Bailey
Jokinen
P1
47.3%
52.8%
P2
40.4%
53.9%
P3
43.3%
57.5%
OT
63.6%
84.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |