Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Turris 50.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 63.1%
Defensive zone
Bailey 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 63.3%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Bailey
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bailey
Turris
Last 8: Bailey 3-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bailey
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Bailey
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Bailey
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
50.2% (7,653)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
52.4% (1,312)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
48.6% (580)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Bailey
Turris
Home
46.6% (1,353)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Bailey
Turris
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
44.8%
50.8%
P3
44.4%
48.4%
OT
51.1%
56.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |