Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Turris 47.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 79.0%
Neutral zone
Bailey 64.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Bailey
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bailey
Turris
Last 5: Bailey 1-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Bailey
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Bailey
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Bailey
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
46.6% (614)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
49.0% (98)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
40.0% (10)
-0.2%
On power play, Bailey has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Bailey is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Bailey shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Bailey
Turris
Home
45.9% (375)
50.3% (352)
Away
41.8% (361)
43.4% (371)
By Period
Bailey
Turris
P1
47.3%
48.1%
P2
40.4%
45.8%
P3
43.3%
46.5%
OT
63.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |