Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bouma shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Bouma 39.5% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bailey 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Bailey
Bouma
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
38.0% (205)
+7.8%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
25.0% (4)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
18.2% (33)
+21.7%
On power play, Bailey has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Bouma is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bouma
Home
46.6% (1,353)
37.4% (139)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
32.0% (103)
By Period
Bailey
Bouma
P1
46.5%
39.8%
P2
44.8%
32.2%
P3
44.4%
32.7%
OT
51.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%