Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Glendening 55.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 70.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 50.2%
Neutral zone
Glendening 73.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Bailey
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Bailey
Glendening
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
1
Bailey
Glendening
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
3
Bailey
Glendening
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Bailey
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
57.9% (7,770)
-12.1%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
56.4% (195)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
48.6% (2,498)
-8.7%
On even strength, Glendening has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Home / Away
Bailey
Glendening
Home
46.6% (1,353)
55.4% (5,255)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
55.9% (5,208)
By Period
Bailey
Glendening
P1
46.5%
56.1%
P2
44.8%
54.5%
P3
44.4%
56.5%
OT
51.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |