Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 50.0% vs Glendening 55.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 78.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 86.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 60.8%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Bailey
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bailey
Glendening
Last 7: Bailey 4-3 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Bailey
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (189)
58.5% (509)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
51.9% (27)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
49.4% (164)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Bailey is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Bailey shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Bailey
Glendening
Home
55.2% (145)
53.8% (342)
Away
43.2% (111)
58.4% (358)
By Period
Bailey
Glendening
P1
42.4%
55.7%
P2
52.2%
52.8%
P3
56.9%
59.5%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |