Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Hischier 52.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 50.7%
Neutral zone
Bailey 51.0%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Bailey
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Bailey
Hischier
Last 10: Bailey 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
1
Bailey
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
7
Bailey
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
51.5% (8,379)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
59.7% (1,736)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
49.4% (903)
-9.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Bailey
Hischier
Home
46.6% (1,353)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Bailey
Hischier
P1
46.5%
52.9%
P2
44.8%
52.4%
P3
44.4%
52.6%
OT
51.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |