Josh Bailey vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 50.0% vs Bellemare 52.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bellemare 55.0%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 91.8%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 80.7%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Bailey
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bailey
Bellemare
Last 5: Bailey 4-1 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Bellemare
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
1
Bailey
Bellemare
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Bellemare
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (189)
55.5% (602)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
50.0% (20)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.6% (168)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Bellemare has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Bailey shoots left. Bellemare is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bellemare
Home
55.2% (145)
55.5% (389)
Away
43.2% (111)
50.6% (401)
By Period
Bailey
Bellemare
P1
42.4%
62.9%
P2
52.2%
48.3%
P3
56.9%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |