Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Park on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Park shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Park 54.5% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 76.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 79.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 77.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Bailey
Park
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bailey
Park
Last 7: Bailey 2-5 Park
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Park
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Park
1
3
Bailey
Park
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Park
0
1
Bailey
Park
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Park
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
55.7% (348)
-9.9%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
20.0% (5)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
57.9% (38)
-18.0%
On power play, Bailey has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Park shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Park is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Bailey
Park
Home
46.6% (1,353)
62.0% (205)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
49.0% (192)
By Period
Bailey
Park
P1
46.5%
55.3%
P2
44.8%
56.2%
P3
44.4%
55.2%
OT
51.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |