Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Park on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bailey wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Park shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Park 54.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 78.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 75.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 77.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Bailey
Park
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bailey
Park
Last 7: Bailey 2-5 Park
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Park
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Park
1
3
Bailey
Park
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Park
0
1
Bailey
Park
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Park
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
55.7% (348)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
20.0% (5)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
57.9% (38)
-18.1%
On power play, Bailey has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Park shoots right. Bailey is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Bailey shoots left. Park is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Bailey
Park
Home
45.9% (375)
62.0% (205)
Away
41.8% (361)
49.0% (192)
By Period
Bailey
Park
P1
47.3%
55.3%
P2
40.4%
56.2%
P3
43.3%
55.2%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |