Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.5%). Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 53.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Bailey
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Bailey
Strome
Last 10: Bailey 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
1
Bailey
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Bailey
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
44.1% (6,839)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
49.3% (854)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
41.5% (410)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Bailey
Strome
Home
46.6% (1,353)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Bailey
Strome
P1
46.5%
44.0%
P2
44.8%
45.3%
P3
44.4%
44.3%
OT
51.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |