Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 50.0% vs Blueger 45.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 88.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 55.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Bailey
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bailey
Blueger
Last 5: Bailey 4-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (189)
48.1% (653)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
29.6% (27)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
38.1% (210)
-9.5%
On power play, Bailey has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Bailey shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Bailey
Blueger
Home
55.2% (145)
45.5% (473)
Away
43.2% (111)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Bailey
Blueger
P1
42.4%
48.0%
P2
52.2%
44.9%
P3
56.9%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |