Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bailey wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.2% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 71.5%
Defensive zone
Bailey 69.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 70.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Bailey
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bailey
Plekanec
Last 7: Bailey 2-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Bailey
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (441)
51.0% (1,016)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
49.0% (206)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (84)
46.3% (307)
-4.6%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Bailey shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Bailey
Plekanec
Home
43.1% (295)
53.3% (836)
Away
45.6% (320)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Bailey
Plekanec
P1
46.5%
54.4%
P2
45.7%
44.5%
P3
41.3%
50.4%
OT
38.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |