Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Zajac 54.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 73.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 69.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 75.3%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Bailey
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Bailey
Zajac
Last 10: Bailey 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
8
Bailey
Zajac
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
5
Bailey
Zajac
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
2
Bailey
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
54.4% (9,056)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
59.1% (1,498)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
48.6% (1,599)
-8.7%
On power play, Zajac has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Bailey
Zajac
Home
46.6% (1,353)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Bailey
Zajac
P1
46.5%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
55.6%
P3
44.4%
53.6%
OT
51.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |