Scouting Report
Vinny Prospal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Prospal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Prospal 51.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prospal 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 63.3%
Neutral zone
Prospal 60.5%
Result
Vinny Prospal favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Bailey
Prospal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bailey
Prospal
Last 5: Bailey 3-2 Prospal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Prospal
0
2
Bailey
Prospal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Prospal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Prospal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Prospal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
49.3% (69)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
54.7% (86)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
0.0% (1)
+39.9%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prospal shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Prospal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Bailey
Prospal
Home
46.6% (1,353)
50.6% (89)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
52.9% (70)
By Period
Bailey
Prospal
P1
46.5%
52.6%
P2
44.8%
52.4%
P3
44.4%
45.9%
OT
51.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Prospal
40.0%▼
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |