Scouting Report
Vinny Prospal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Prospal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.2% vs Prospal 52.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prospal 80.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 64.5%
Neutral zone
Prospal 60.0%
Result
Vinny Prospal favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Bailey
Prospal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bailey
Prospal
Last 5: Bailey 3-2 Prospal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Prospal
0
2
Bailey
Prospal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Prospal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Prospal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Prospal
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (441)
51.1% (45)
-6.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
56.3% (80)
-8.2%
On power play, Prospal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prospal shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Bailey shoots left. Prospal is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Bailey
Prospal
Home
43.1% (295)
55.4% (74)
Away
45.6% (320)
51.9% (54)
By Period
Bailey
Prospal
P1
46.5%
54.0%
P2
45.7%
52.0%
P3
41.3%
53.8%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Prospal
40.0%▼
51.6%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |