Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Doan 45.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 93.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 69.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Dickinson
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Doan
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Doan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Doan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
41.2% (68)
+10.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
46.7% (15)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
0.0% (2)
+42.4%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Doan is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Doan
Home
53.6% (489)
30.6% (36)
Away
44.7% (427)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Dickinson
Doan
P1
47.7%
36.8%
P2
52.1%
48.3%
P3
47.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
21.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Josh Doan |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |