Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dunne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Dunne 51.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 62.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Lindholm
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lindholm
Dunne
Last 6: Lindholm 5-1 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Dunne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
54.8% (93)
-0.4%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
0.0% (2)
+62.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
0.0% (1)
+49.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Dunne is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Dunne
Home
55.8% (541)
50.0% (36)
Away
54.7% (428)
55.0% (60)
By Period
Lindholm
Dunne
P1
54.8%
56.7%
P2
55.7%
57.1%
P3
55.6%
45.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |