Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Jooris 48.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 68.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.3%
Neutral zone
Jooris 60.1%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Nelson
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nelson
Jooris
Last 7: Nelson 5-2 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Nelson
Jooris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
0
Nelson
Jooris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
48.4% (488)
-4.5%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
56.3% (32)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
46.8% (47)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Jooris has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Nelson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Nelson shoots left. Jooris is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jooris
Home
42.9% (406)
52.1% (330)
Away
45.8% (393)
43.9% (237)
By Period
Nelson
Jooris
P1
44.1%
45.1%
P2
47.2%
48.1%
P3
42.2%
51.9%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |