Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Jooris 48.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Stepan
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Jooris
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
3
Stepan
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Stepan
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
48.4% (488)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
56.3% (32)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
46.8% (47)
-3.8%
On power play, Jooris has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Jooris is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jooris
Home
45.6% (629)
52.1% (330)
Away
42.5% (603)
43.9% (237)
By Period
Stepan
Jooris
P1
44.7%
45.1%
P2
43.7%
48.1%
P3
43.9%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |