Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.5%
Defensive zone
Jooris 68.4%
Neutral zone
Jooris 53.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jooris
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Jooris
Duchene
Last 10: Jooris 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jooris
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Jooris
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
56.9% (1,665)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
49.1% (468)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Jooris
Duchene
Home
49.0% (786)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.4% (651)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Jooris
Duchene
P1
47.5%
54.5%
P2
44.3%
54.5%
P3
51.3%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |