Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jooris 67.1%
Defensive zone
Jooris 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jooris 65.8%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Jooris
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Jooris
Bonino
Last 10: Jooris 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Jooris
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Jooris
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Jooris
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
54.1% (972)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
44.6% (1,693)
-5.2%
On power play, Jooris has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Jooris
Bonino
Home
49.0% (786)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
46.4% (651)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Jooris
Bonino
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
44.3%
48.5%
P3
51.3%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |